Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy play FC Ekibastuz in the First League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shakhter Karagandy averaged 2.88 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. FC Ekibastuz averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Shakhter Karagandy won 3, FC Ekibastuz won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Shakhter Karagandy and 1.00 for FC Ekibastuz. This points to a Shakhter Karagandy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Shakhter Karagandy
11%
Draws
9%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Shakhter Karagandy has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Ekibastuz.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Shakhter Karagandy.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 20%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhter Karagandy FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz
4:0
Aug 8, 2025 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz
4:0
May 9, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Shakhter Karagandy
2:2
Apr 24, 2009 Kazakhstan Cup
Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz
3:1
Jul 12, 2008 Premier League
FC Ekibastuz vs Shakhter Karagandy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Aymanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prokopenko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 76 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhter Karagandy FC Ekibastuz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhter Karagandy scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

FC Ekibastuz let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Shakhter Karagandy went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Ekibastuz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shakhter Karagandy VS FC Ekibastuz
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 212102040:532
2Shakhter Karagandy12101135:531
3Turan1281325:1025
4FC Astana 21262423:2020
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7FC Ekibastuz1245315:2017
8Khan Tengri1352618:2517
9Taraz1251619:1816
10Aktobe 21344526:3916
11Kaspij Aktau 21233615:2212
12Arys1331915:2810
13Tobol 21314821:387
14Yelimay Semey 2120398:263