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Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy play Turan in the First League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shakhter Karagandy averaged 2.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Turan averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Shakhter Karagandy won 2, Turan won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 10, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Shakhter Karagandy and 1.44 for Turan. This points to a Shakhter Karagandy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shakhter Karagandy
40%
Draws
29%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Shakhter Karagandy has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Turan.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 16%
Turan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhter Karagandy Turan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League
Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan
0:2
Oct 9, 2022 Premier League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan
0:0
Aug 5, 2022 Kazakhstan Cup
Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Migunov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Turan Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 31 / 100
Turan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhter Karagandy Turan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhter Karagandy scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Turan let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Shakhter Karagandy went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Turan lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shakhter Karagandy VS Turan
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 212102040:532
2Shakhter Karagandy12101135:531
3Turan1281325:1025
4FC Astana 21262423:2020
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7FC Ekibastuz1245315:2017
8Khan Tengri1352618:2517
9Taraz1251619:1816
10Aktobe 21344526:3916
11Kaspij Aktau 21233615:2212
12Arys1331915:2810
13Tobol 21314821:387
14Yelimay Semey 2120398:263