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Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Migunov A.
Assist: Nusip A.

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhter Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Shakhter Karagandy
15%
Draws
41%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Shakhter Karagandy have won more games recently than Turan.
  • Shakhter Karagandy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 18%
Turan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhter Karagandy Turan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.7 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League
Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan
0:2
Oct 9, 2022 Premier League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan
0:0
Aug 5, 2022 Kazakhstan Cup
Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Migunov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Turan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 85 / 100
Turan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhter Karagandy Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shakhter Karagandy scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Shakhter Karagandy remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Turan conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shakhter Karagandy VS Turan
3.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhter Karagandy

(Home)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
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Turan

(Away)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 22 3 4 15 37:57 13
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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