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Shakhter Karagandy vs Turkistan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Shakhter Stadion
Fri, Oct 24, 2025
3 - 0
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy play Turkistan in the First League 2025. Shakhter Karagandy are favorites here. Recently, Shakhter Karagandy averaged 2.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Turkistan averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Shakhter Karagandy won 2, Turkistan won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 24, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Shakhter Karagandy and 0.63 for Turkistan. This points to a Shakhter Karagandy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shakhter Karagandy
6%
Draws
4%
Turkistan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shakhter Karagandy has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Turkistan.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Shakhter Karagandy.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 20%
Turkistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhter Karagandy Turkistan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 2.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turkistan
3:0
Apr 9, 2025 First League
Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 85 / 100
Turkistan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhter Karagandy Turkistan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhter Karagandy scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Turkistan let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shakhter Karagandy went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Turkistan lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shakhter Karagandy VS Turkistan
2.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaspij Aktau26222274:2768
2Ertis Pavlodar26194371:2061
3Altai26174554:2355
4Shakhter Karagandy26165561:3453
5Zhetisay261331044:3542
6Kairat Almaty 2261241058:4240
7Akademiya Ontustik261231144:4439
8Taraz261051143:3835
9AKAS261031342:3933
10FC Ekibastuz26841436:6028
11SD Family26721733:7523
12Khan Tengri26531827:5518
13Aktobe 226371634:6516
14Turkistan26232116:809