Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sham Shui Po vs HK U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Boers P.
57'
Sub
Koike A. In: Wong Sum-Chit Sherman
Out: Koike A.
63'
Dujardin A.

AI Match Summary

Sham Shui Po in this FA Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sham Shui Po
20%
Draws
30%
HK U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sham Shui Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sham Shui Po lately — more wins on the board than HK U23.
  • Win probability leans Sham Shui Po's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sham Shui Po have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor HK U23, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sham Shui Po Clean Sheet 14%
HK U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sham Shui Po HK U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.33 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.47 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
HK U23 vs Sham Shui Po
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Sapling Cup
HK U23 vs Sham Shui Po
1:5
Dec 30, 2023 Sapling Cup
Sham Shui Po vs HK U23
0:5
Dec 17, 2023 Premier League
Sham Shui Po vs HK U23
2:2
Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup
Sham Shui Po vs HK U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sham Shui Po Compare

Top Goalscorer Leung S. Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

HK U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sham Shui Po 84 / 100
HK U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sham Shui Po HK U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sham Shui Po Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HK U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sham Shui Po scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sham Shui Po stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sham Shui Po VS HK U23
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sham Shui Po

(Home)
01 Jun
Eastern AA
3 : 2
Sham Shui Po
26 May
Hong Kong FC
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
19 May
Sham Shui Po
1 : 6
Lee Man Warriors
11 May
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 2
Sham Shui Po
05 May
Resources Capital
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
Page 1 of 6

HK U23

(Away)
26 May
HK U23
2 : 4
Tai Po
19 May
North District
0 : 1
HK U23
05 May
Hong Kong Rangers
5 : 0
HK U23
28 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Kitchee
21 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kitchee -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong FC -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
Tai Po 0
Resources Capital 1
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
North District 1
Lee Man Warriors 4
Southern District -
TBD -
Sham Shui Po 1
HK U23 0
Quarter-finals
Kitchee 2
Hong Kong FC 0
Eastern AA 1
Resources Capital 0
Hong Kong Rangers 3
Lee Man Warriors 4
Southern District 1
Sham Shui Po 2
Semi-finals
Kitchee 1
Eastern AA 2
Lee Man Warriors 1
Sham Shui Po 2
Final
Eastern AA 3
Sham Shui Po 2