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Shamakhi 2 vs Sabail 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Aliyev E.
17' Event
Ahmadov T.
49' Event
Alizada A.

AI Match Summary

Sabail 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabail 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shamakhi 2
30%
Draws
31%
Sabail 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shamakhi 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Shamakhi 2 have won more games recently than Sabail 2.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Shamakhi 2 taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Shamakhi 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Sabail 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamakhi 2 Sabail 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2023 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Sabail 2
2:4
Oct 12, 2022 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs Shamakhi 2
2:1
May 1, 2022 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Sabail 2
5:0
Dec 7, 2021 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs Shamakhi 2
2:3
Nov 29, 2019 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs Shamakhi 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamakhi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmadov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alizada A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sabail 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badirov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamakhi 2 35 / 100
Sabail 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamakhi 2 Sabail 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Shamakhi 2's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sabail 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Shamakhi 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamakhi 2 VS Sabail 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamakhi 2

(Home)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
25 Apr
Shamakhi 2
2 : 1
Imisli FK
18 Apr
Qarabag Agdam 2
5 : 0
Shamakhi 2
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Sabail 2

(Away)
23 May
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Sabail 2
16 May
Sabail 2
0 : 0
MOIK Baku
08 May
Araz PFK
3 : 1
Sabail 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
24 Apr
Turan 2
0 : 2
Sabail 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
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