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Shamakhi vs Dinamo Baki

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2004/2005 ASK Arena
Sat, May 28, 2005
1 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamakhi play Dinamo Baki in the Azerbaijan Cup 2004/2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shamakhi averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Dinamo Baki averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Shamakhi won 0, Dinamo Baki won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2005 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Shamakhi and 1.19 for Dinamo Baki. This points to a Dinamo Baki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shamakhi
22%
Draws
48%
Dinamo Baki
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dinamo Baki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Shamakhi picked up more points recently compared to Dinamo Baki.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Shamakhi Clean Sheet 20%
Dinamo Baki Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamakhi Dinamo Baki
Matches Played 39 19
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2005 Azerbaijan Cup
Shamakhi vs Dinamo Baki
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamakhi 31 / 100
Dinamo Baki 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamakhi Dinamo Baki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dinamo Baki or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shamakhi attacking → ← attacking Dinamo Baki

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamakhi scored in 62% of their last 39 games.

Dinamo Baki let in goals in 53% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shamakhi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo Baki lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 31
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00