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Shamakhi vs Khazar Lankaran

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2004/2005 ASK Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamakhi play Khazar Lankaran in the Azerbaijan Cup 2004/2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shamakhi averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Khazar Lankaran averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Shamakhi won 1, Khazar Lankaran won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2008 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Shamakhi and 1.19 for Khazar Lankaran. This points to a Khazar Lankaran double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shamakhi
20%
Draws
50%
Khazar Lankaran
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Khazar Lankaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Shamakhi picked up more points recently compared to Khazar Lankaran.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Shamakhi Clean Sheet 20%
Khazar Lankaran Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamakhi Khazar Lankaran
Matches Played 37 24
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 3
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2008 Azerbaijan Cup
Khazar Lankaran vs Shamakhi
2:0
Apr 22, 2007 Azerbaijan Cup
Khazar Lankaran vs Shamakhi
1:0
Apr 12, 2007 Azerbaijan Cup
Shamakhi vs Khazar Lankaran
0:1
Apr 29, 2005 Azerbaijan Cup
Khazar Lankaran vs Shamakhi
1:1
Apr 16, 2005 Azerbaijan Cup
Shamakhi vs Khazar Lankaran
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamakhi 31 / 100
Khazar Lankaran 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamakhi Khazar Lankaran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Khazar Lankaran or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shamakhi attacking → ← attacking Khazar Lankaran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamakhi scored in 59% of their last 37 games.

Khazar Lankaran let in goals in 38% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Shamakhi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Khazar Lankaran lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 51
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00