Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League 2015/2016 ASK Arena

Shamakhi

2 - 1

Khazar Lenkoran

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Aliyev R.

27'

Fomenko Y.

47'

Guleliyev V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2015/2016 game between Shamakhi and Khazar Lenkoran finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shamakhi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Shamakhi

39%

Draws

31%

Khazar Lenkoran

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Khazar Lenkoran haven't matched Shamakhi's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Premier League 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Shamakhi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%

Shamakhi Clean Sheet 68%

Khazar Lenkoran Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shamakhi	Khazar Lenkoran
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	14	3
Draws	8	3
Losses	12	24
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2016 Premier League

Shamakhi vs Khazar Lenkoran

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Mar 20, 2016 Premier League

Khazar Lenkoran vs Shamakhi

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Dec 20, 2015 Premier League

Shamakhi vs Khazar Lenkoran

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Aug 9, 2015 Premier League

Khazar Lenkoran vs Shamakhi

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Apr 5, 2015 Premier League

Shamakhi vs Khazar Lenkoran

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamakhi Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fomenko Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Khazar Lenkoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Guleliyev V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamakhi 41 / 100

Khazar Lenkoran 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shamakhi Khazar Lenkoran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Khazar Lenkoran conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Shamakhi scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Khazar Lenkoran's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shamakhi VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Qarabag Agdam	36	26	6	4	66:21	84
2	Zira FK	36	17	11	8	42:31	62
3	Gabala	36	16	11	9	44:28	59
4	Shamakhi	36	16	11	9	39:28	59
5	Kapaz	36	15	11	10	48:40	56
6	Neftci Baku	36	13	10	13	41:41	49
7	Shuvalan	36	13	7	16	26:38	46
8	SumQayit FK	36	9	12	15	41:49	39
9	Ravan	36	5	9	22	27:63	18
10	Khazar Lenkoran	36	3	6	27	16:51	15