Sport Picks
Shamakhi vs Neftci Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi 
AI Match Summary
Shamakhi host Neftci Baku in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Neftci Baku have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Shamakhi have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Shamakhi have won 0 to Neftci Baku's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.56) back Neftci Baku to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Shamakhi haven't matched Neftci Baku's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shamakhi | Neftci Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Shamakhi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Neftci Baku let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Shamakhi found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Shamakhi
(Home)Neftci Baku
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | SumQayit FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 9 | Gabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |
