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Shamakhi vs Turan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi
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Match Events

10' Event
Agcabayov A.
28' Event
Balau D.
36'
Nacafov K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Shamakhi and Turan finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shamakhi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Shamakhi
35%
Draws
31%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turan come out ahead of Shamakhi on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Shamakhi Clean Sheet 68%
Turan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamakhi Turan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Shamakhi
0:0
May 16, 2026 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Turan
3:2
Feb 16, 2026 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Turan
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Shamakhi
2:1
Apr 25, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Shamakhi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamakhi Compare

Top Goalscorer Agcabayov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balau D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Wadji I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serrano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamakhi 41 / 100
Turan 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamakhi Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamakhi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamakhi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Shamakhi scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Turan conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shamakhi VS Turan
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamakhi

(Home)
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0
Shamakhi
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
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Turan

(Away)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)