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Shamal vs Al-Duhail

Qatar Qatar

QSL Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
VS
02:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamal host Al-Duhail in the QSL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al-Duhail have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Shamal have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.9. Head-to-head, Shamal have won 1 to Al-Duhail's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Shamal. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shamal
35%
Draws
34%
Al-Duhail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Shamal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al-Duhail have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Duhail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al-Duhail
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Duhail
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Shamal
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Shamal
0:4
Nov 1, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Duhail
2:6
May 6, 2024 Emir Cup
Al-Duhail vs Shamal
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 31 / 100
Al-Duhail 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al-Duhail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shamal scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Al-Duhail let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Shamal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al-Duhail
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
Page 1 of 6

Al-Duhail

(Away)
21 Sept
Al-Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al-Duhail
1 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al-Duhail
29 Aug
Al-Duhail
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
22 Aug
Al-Duhail
2 : 0
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)