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Shamal vs Al Ittihad

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Bounedjah B.
Assist: Ben Romdhane M.
64'
Sub
Al Ghamdi A. In: Wijnaldum G.
Out: Al Ghamdi A.
64'
Sub
En Nesyri Y. In: Ilenikhena G.
Out: En Nesyri Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this AFC Champions League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Shamal
35%
Draws
38%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ittihad lately — more wins on the board than Shamal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Shamal Clean Sheet 11%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Ittihad
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 AFC Champions League
Shamal vs Al Ittihad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounedjah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Wijnaldum G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 30 / 100
Al Ittihad 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Ittihad let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Shamal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Ittihad
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad

(Away)
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al-Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al-Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)