Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamal vs Al Rayyan

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ali O.
50' Event
Roger Guedes
55' Event
Roger Guedes
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Al Rayyan in this QSL Cup tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Shamal
11%
Draws
80%
Al Rayyan
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Rayyan have won more games recently than Shamal.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Al Rayyan taking it.
  • Al Rayyan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Rayyan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Rayyan
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.29 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.29 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Shamal
0:1
Nov 28, 2025 QSL Cup
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
1:2
Aug 22, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
4:2
Apr 11, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
3:5
Nov 22, 2024 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Shamal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Al Rayyan Compare

Top Goalscorer Roger Guedes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 10 / 100
Al Rayyan 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Rayyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Shamal found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Rayyan let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Shamal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Rayyan
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

Al Rayyan

(Away)
19 Jul
Rochdale
3 : 3
Al Rayyan
01 May
Al Rayyan
0 : 3
Al Wakra
27 Apr
Al Rayyan
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
23 Apr
Al Shabab
0 : 3
Al Rayyan
19 Apr
Al Rayyan
2 : 0
Al Qadisiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)