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Shamal vs Al Rayyan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamal host Al Rayyan in the QSL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Al Rayyan have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while Shamal have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.83. Past meetings favor Al Rayyan slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.38 - 1.94) back Al Rayyan to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Shamal
30%
Draws
47%
Al Rayyan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Rayyan lately — more wins on the board than Shamal.
  • Win probability leans Al Rayyan's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Rayyan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.83 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Qatar Cup
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
3:4
Jan 17, 2026 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Shamal
0:1
Nov 28, 2025 QSL Cup
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
1:2
Aug 22, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
4:2
Apr 11, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 10 / 100
Al Rayyan 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Rayyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Rayyan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shamal scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Al Rayyan let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Shamal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Rayyan
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
30 Oct
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Shamal
27 Oct
Shamal
3 : 1
Al Hilal
23 Oct
Shamal
2 : 3
Qatar SC
17 Oct
Lusail
0 : 0
Shamal
12 Oct
Tractor
0 : 0
Shamal
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Al Rayyan

(Away)
28 Oct
Al Nahda
1 : 4
Al Rayyan
23 Oct
Al Sailiya
1 : 6
Al Rayyan
18 Oct
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Al Rayyan
14 Oct
Al Taawon
2 : 1
Al Rayyan
09 Oct
Qatar SC
0 : 3
Al Rayyan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 8 6 0 2 31:14 18
2 Al Rayyan 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
3 Al Duhail 7 4 3 0 15:6 15
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 7 3 3 1 16:8 12
5 Al Wakra 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
6 Al Ahli 8 3 2 3 14:15 11
7 Al Gharafa 8 2 3 3 10:13 9
8 Shamal 8 2 3 3 13:17 9
9 Al Shahaniya 8 2 1 5 9:21 7
10 Lusail 7 1 3 3 8:8 6
11 Qatar SC 8 1 3 4 9:18 6
12 Al Sailiya 7 0 1 6 8:26 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)