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Shamal vs Al Rayyan

Qatar Qatar

Qatar Cup Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Tue, Sep 1, 2026
3 - 4
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Alaaeldin A.
16'
Benaissa N.
19'
Gaber J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. The second leg ended 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Shamal
35%
Draws
38%
Al Rayyan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Rayyan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shamal a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Al Rayyan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Rayyan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Rayyan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.93 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Qatar Cup
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
3:4
Jan 17, 2026 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Shamal
0:1
Nov 28, 2025 QSL Cup
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
1:2
Aug 22, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
4:2
Apr 11, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Rayyan
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Said W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ben Romdhane M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Al Rayyan Compare

Top Goalscorer Roger Guedes
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Sart J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 34 / 100
Al Rayyan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Rayyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Al Rayyan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Shamal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Rayyan
2.5 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
27 Aug
Al-Gharafa
1 : 3
Shamal
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Al Rayyan

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
16 Sept
Al Rayyan
4 : 3
Al-Faisaly Amman
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al-Duhail
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Al-Sadd 2
Al-Gharafa 1
Shamal 3
Al Rayyan 4
Final
Al-Sadd -
Al Rayyan -