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Shamal vs Al Sailiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamal host Al Sailiya in the QSL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Shamal have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Al Sailiya's 1.1 scored and 2.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Sailiya slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 1.19, favoring Shamal. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Shamal
30%
Draws
8%
Al Sailiya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Shamal have won more games recently than Al Sailiya.
  • Model gives Shamal a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Sailiya
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.71 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Al Sailiya
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Shamal
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 QSL
Shamal vs Al Sailiya
0:5
Aug 10, 2022 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Shamal
2:1
Apr 13, 2022 QFA Cup
Shamal vs Al Sailiya
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 85 / 100
Al Sailiya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Sailiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sailiya let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Shamal scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Shamal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Sailiya
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
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Al Sailiya

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Ahli
5 : 0
Al Sailiya
28 Sept
Al Sailiya
1 : 1
Al Rayyan
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
6 Al Ahli 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
7 Al Shahaniya 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
8 Lusail 5 1 2 2 7:5 5
9 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 4:12 2
12 Al Sailiya 5 0 0 5 5:18 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)