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Shamal vs Al Wakra

Qatar Qatar

QSL Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
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Match Events

23'
Assal A.
26' Event
Mari P.
Assist: Ben Romdhane M.
45' Event
Laidouni A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this QSL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shamal
35%
Draws
25%
Al Wakra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Al Wakra haven't matched Shamal's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Shamal taking it.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Shamal Clean Sheet 13%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Wakra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Al Wakra
1:1
Mar 12, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Shamal
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Wakra
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Wakra
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 QSL
Al Wakra vs Shamal
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mari P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Laidouni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 84 / 100
Al Wakra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Wakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Wakra let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Shamal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Wakra
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
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Al Wakra

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)