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Shamal vs Muaither SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
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Match Events

33' Event
Collado A.
60' Event
Al Saeed A.
85' Event
Saez M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Shamal
20%
Draws
36%
Muaither SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muaither SC lately — more wins on the board than Shamal.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Muaither SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shamal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Muaither SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 QSL Cup
Shamal vs Muaither SC
2:1
Feb 29, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Muaither SC
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 QSL
Muaither SC vs Shamal
2:2
Apr 29, 2022 QFA Cup
Muaither SC vs Shamal
3:5
Feb 15, 2021 QSL 2
Shamal vs Muaither SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Collado A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Saeed A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Muaither SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Saez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 30 / 100
Muaither SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Muaither SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muaither SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Muaither SC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Shamal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Muaither SC
2.5 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al Shahaniya
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Muaither SC

(Away)
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
31 Aug
Muaither SC
5 : 1
Al Rayyan 2
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamal 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Al Duhail 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Umm-Salal 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Qatar SC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Al Wakra 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Lusail 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Al Waab 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
8 Al Gharafa 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Muaither SC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Al Shahaniya 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Al Rayyan 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Al Sailiya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Al Ahli 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Al Markhiya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Al Kharitiyath 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Al Arabi (Qatar) 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Al Mesaimeer 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
18 Al Khor 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
19 Al Bidda 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)