Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamal vs Qatar SC

Qatar Qatar

QSL Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamal host Qatar SC in the QSL. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Qatar SC have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Shamal have conceded 1.52 and scored 2.03. Past meetings favor Shamal slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 1.75, favoring Shamal. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Shamal
35%
Draws
18%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Qatar SC haven't matched Shamal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shamal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Shamal Clean Sheet 12%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Qatar SC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
3:0
Feb 13, 2026 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Qatar SC
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
2:1
Aug 22, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 83 / 100
Qatar SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Qatar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Qatar SC conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Shamal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Qatar SC
2.63 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
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Qatar SC

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)