Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016 Shamkir City Stadium

Shamkir

2 - 1

FK Baku

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2015/2016 game between Shamkir and FK Baku finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shamkir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Shamkir

39%

Draws

30%

FK Baku

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Shamkir carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Shamkir Clean Sheet 20%

FK Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shamkir	FK Baku
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	16	9
Draws	4	4
Losses	12	17
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	0.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2016 I Liqa

Shamkir vs FK Baku

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Oct 9, 2015 I Liqa

FK Baku vs Shamkir

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Apr 2, 2005 Premier League

Shamkir vs FK Baku

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Oct 23, 2004 Premier League

FK Baku vs Shamkir

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 24, 2003 Premier League

FK Baku vs Shamkir

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamkir 32 / 100

FK Baku 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shamkir FK Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamkir found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

FK Baku let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shamkir remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shamkir VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ANSAD Neftcala	26	20	2	4	74:20	62
2	Lokbatan	26	18	4	4	59:28	58
3	Agsu (Inactive)	26	13	8	5	46:29	47
4	MOIK Baku	26	14	5	7	53:24	47
5	Shamkir	26	10	8	8	30:24	38
6	Zaqatala PFK	26	9	9	8	47:36	36
7	Turan	26	10	6	10	35:31	36
8	Imisli FK	26	8	8	10	28:26	32
9	FK Baku	26	9	3	14	33:42	30
10	Bakili Baku	26	8	6	12	34:46	30
11	Sahdag Qusar	26	8	6	12	31:54	30
12	Sharurspor	26	8	4	14	45:44	28
13	Goyazan Qazax	26	3	8	15	17:42	17
14	Mingachevir	26	4	3	19	14:100	15