Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017 Shamkir City Stadium

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shamkir play Sahdag Qusar in the First Division 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shamkir averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Sahdag Qusar averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Shamkir won 3, Sahdag Qusar won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 11, 2017 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Shamkir and 1.43 for Sahdag Qusar. This points to a Shamkir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Shamkir

17%

Draws

38%

Sahdag Qusar

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Shamkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Shamkir picked up more points recently compared to Sahdag Qusar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.43 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Shamkir Clean Sheet 17%

Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shamkir	Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	15	14
Draws	3	7
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1.47	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2017 I Liqa

Shamkir vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sep 16, 2016 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs Shamkir

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Feb 24, 2016 I Liqa

Shamkir vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 59% - 60% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Oct 14, 2015 Azerbaijan Cup

Sahdag Qusar vs Shamkir

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Sep 24, 2015 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs Shamkir

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamkir 44 / 100

Sahdag Qusar 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shamkir Sahdag Qusar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shamkir or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shamkir attacking → ← attacking Sahdag Qusar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamkir scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Sahdag Qusar let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Shamkir went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sahdag Qusar lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 49

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Turan	26	18	7	1	62:11	61
2	Sabail	26	18	3	5	80:25	57
3	Agsu (Inactive)	26	16	5	5	63:21	53
4	Lokbatan	26	17	1	8	64:31	52
5	Zaqatala PFK	26	15	4	7	69:31	49
6	Shamkir	26	15	3	8	41:20	48
7	Imisli FK	26	13	5	8	53:33	44
8	MOIK Baku	26	10	6	10	47:31	36
9	Sahdag Qusar	26	8	6	12	36:45	30
10	Sharurspor	26	7	4	15	36:51	25
11	Mingachevir	26	5	5	16	25:86	20
12	Bakili Baku	26	3	2	21	30:99	11
13	Goyazan Qazax	26	2	4	20	20:99	10
14	Ravan	26	6	1	19	24:67	10