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Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium
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AI Match Summary

This Premier Division encounter between Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Shamrock Rovers averages 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Bohemians shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Shamrock Rovers, 2 wins for Bohemians, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.05.26 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.56 for Bohemians, suggesting the primary value lies in the Shamrock Rovers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Shamrock Rovers
17%
Draws
37%
Bohemians
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Shamrock Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Bohemians.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 15%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers Bohemians
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.69 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

25.05.26 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers
1:2
17.04.26 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
2:1
27.02.26 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers
3:2
26.09.25 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
2:1
23.06.25 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers
2:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Shamrock Rovers

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Bohemians

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Burke G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bohemians Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 44 / 100
Bohemians 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers Bohemians

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shamrock Rovers or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Shamrock Rovers 51%
Bohemians 30%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Shamrock Rovers 44%
Bohemians 39%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Shamrock Rovers 46%
Bohemians 37%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Shamrock Rovers 48%
Bohemians 35%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Shamrock Rovers 41%
Bohemians 41%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Shamrock Rovers 53%
Bohemians 43%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shamrock Rovers attacking → ← attacking Bohemians

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamrock Rovers have found the net in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Bohemians have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.

Shamrock Rovers remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Bohemians suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 51
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamrock Rovers24145538:2147
2Bohemians24117638:2740
3St. Patricks22115635:1938
4Dundalk2298536:3235
5Shelbourne23710633:3431
6Derry City24611730:2729
7Galway United2166929:3424
8Drogheda22571027:3822
9Sligo Rovers22551217:3520
10Waterford22381128:4417