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Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamrock Rovers host Drogheda in the Premier Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Shamrock Rovers at 1.61 goals for, 1.19 against; Drogheda at 1.34 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Shamrock Rovers have won 3 to Drogheda's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.50) point toward Shamrock Rovers. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shamrock Rovers
20%
Draws
44%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Drogheda haven't matched Shamrock Rovers's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Shamrock Rovers taking it.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 16%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers Drogheda
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shamrock Rovers
0:0
May 4, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda
4:1
Mar 16, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shamrock Rovers
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 FAI Cup
Drogheda vs Shamrock Rovers
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 41 / 100
Drogheda 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamrock Rovers's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Drogheda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shamrock Rovers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shamrock Rovers VS Drogheda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamrock Rovers

(Home)
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
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Drogheda

(Away)
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 31 9 12 10 41:44 39
7 Galway United 31 9 10 12 41:47 37
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)