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Longford

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shamrock Rovers play Longford in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shamrock Rovers averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Longford averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 4, Longford won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.38 for Longford. This points to a Shamrock Rovers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Shamrock Rovers

20%

Draws

28%

Longford

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Shamrock Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Longford.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 17%

Longford Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shamrock Rovers	Longford
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	19	10
Draws	5	7
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.65	1.14
Goals Conceded	0.77	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly

Shamrock Rovers vs Longford

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

6:0

Aug 17, 2025 FAI Cup

Shamrock Rovers vs Longford

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly

Longford vs Shamrock Rovers

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Jan 22, 2024 Club Friendly

Shamrock Rovers vs Longford

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Jan 22, 2022 Club Friendly

Longford vs Shamrock Rovers

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 50 / 100

Longford 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shamrock Rovers Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shamrock Rovers or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shamrock Rovers attacking → ← attacking Longford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamrock Rovers scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Longford let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Shamrock Rovers went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Longford lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 37

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88