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Shamrock Rovers vs Monaghan United Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Mon, Aug 20, 2012
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamrock Rovers host Monaghan United in the Premier Division 2012. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Monaghan United have shipped 2.09 goals a game lately, while Shamrock Rovers have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Shamrock Rovers have won 2 to Monaghan United's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2012, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.67 vs 1.06, favoring Shamrock Rovers. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Shamrock Rovers
30%
Draws
41%
Monaghan United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monaghan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamrock Rovers come out ahead of Monaghan United on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 20%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers Monaghan United
Matches Played 33 11
Wins 17 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.61 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2012 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Monaghan United
0:0
May 21, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Shamrock Rovers
0:0
Mar 9, 2012 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Monaghan United
3:1
Nov 7, 2006 Division 1
Shamrock Rovers vs Monaghan United
2:0
Sep 1, 2006 Division 1
Monaghan United vs Shamrock Rovers
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 32 / 100
Monaghan United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers Monaghan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monaghan United let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

Shamrock Rovers found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Shamrock Rovers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shamrock Rovers VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamrock Rovers

(Home)
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Monaghan United

(Away)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)