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Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Shamrock Rovers play Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shamrock Rovers averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Sligo Rovers averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 2, Sligo Rovers won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Shamrock Rovers and 0.94 for Sligo Rovers. This points to a Shamrock Rovers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Shamrock Rovers
18%
Draws
28%
Sligo Rovers
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Shamrock Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Sligo Rovers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 24%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers Sligo Rovers
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.65 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
1:2
May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
1:2
Mar 13, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sligo Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Esua J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McHugh C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 53 / 100
Sligo Rovers 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers Sligo Rovers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamrock Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Shamrock Rovers & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shamrock Rovers attacking → ← attacking Sligo Rovers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamrock Rovers scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Sligo Rovers let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shamrock Rovers went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sligo Rovers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 32
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks23125638:1941
4Dundalk2398637:3435
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United22661029:3724
8Drogheda23571127:4022
9Waterford23481132:4620
10Sligo Rovers23551318:3720