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Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Burke G.
Assist: Watts D.
33'
Byrne J.
36'
Healy M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Shamrock Rovers and St. Patricks finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shamrock Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Shamrock Rovers
28%
Draws
22%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamrock Rovers come out ahead of St. Patricks on wins alone.
  • Model gives Shamrock Rovers a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Shamrock Rovers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 68%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers St. Patricks
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
1:0
May 19, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Burke G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

St. Patricks Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 59 / 100
St. Patricks 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers St. Patricks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamrock Rovers found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

St. Patricks let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Shamrock Rovers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamrock Rovers VS St. Patricks
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks24126639:2042
4Dundalk2498738:3635
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United23761032:3927
8Drogheda24671129:4125
9Waterford24491133:4721
10Sligo Rovers24551420:4020