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Shamrock vs St. John's

Grenada Grenada

Premier Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. John's in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. John's.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Shamrock
15%
Draws
64%
St. John's
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. John's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. John's lately — more wins on the board than Shamrock.
  • St. John's are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. John's here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Shamrock Clean Sheet 10%
St. John's Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock St. John's
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 23
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.77 2.44
Goals Conceded 2 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Premier Division
St. John's vs Shamrock
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock vs St. John's
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Premier Division
St. John's vs Shamrock
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Premier Division
Shamrock vs St. John's
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock 10 / 100
St. John's 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock St. John's

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. John's Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Shamrock found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

St. John's's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Shamrock stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamrock VS St. John's
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamrock

(Home)
30 Nov
Hurricanes
4 : 1
Shamrock
09 Nov
Hard Rock
3 : 0
Shamrock
26 Oct
Shamrock
4 : 1
North Stars
04 Oct
Shamrock
2 : 2
Paradise
28 Sept
Shamrock
0 : 2
Queens Park Rangers
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St. John's

(Away)
26 Jul
Willemstad
5 : 2
St. John's
23 Jul
Dublanc FC
1 : 3
St. John's
14 Dec
St. Davids
2 : 7
St. John's
30 Nov
St. John's
4 : 0
SAB Spartans
25 Oct
Camerhogne
1 : 2
St. John's
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