Sport Picks
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League Sardar Azadegan Stadium, Qazvin 
Match Events
31'
31'
Mahdavi M.
Assist: Kahrizi A.
41'
41'
Mohkamkar A.
45'
45'
Khalifeh M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Aluminium Arak in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aluminium Arak.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminium Arak
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aluminium Arak lately — more wins on the board than Shams Azar Qazvin.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Aluminium Arak have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 20%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shams Azar Qazvin | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 25 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak
1:2
Feb 13, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:0
May 15, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak
1:3
Jan 2, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Shams Azar Qazvin
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shams Azar Qazvin Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Aluminium Arak Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahdavi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shams Azar Qazvin 32 / 100
Aluminium Arak 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shams Azar Qazvin Aluminium Arak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aluminium Arak has conceded goals in 60% of their last 25 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Shams Azar Qazvin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Shams Azar Qazvin's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Shams Azar Qazvin VS Aluminium Arak
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Shams Azar Qazvin
(Home) 10 Oct
Paykan
1 : 1 Shams Azar Qazvin
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3 Gol Gohar
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0 Tractor
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3 Gol Gohar
01 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0 Tractor
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2 Aluminium Arak
15 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 2 Persepolis
27 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 2 Foolad
Page 1 of 3
Aluminium Arak
(Away) 08 Oct
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1 Malavan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0 Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2 Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 5
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2 Aluminium Arak
14 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
13 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0 Aluminium Arak
01 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:2 | 17 |
| 2 | Persepolis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Esteghlal TEH | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 16 |
| 4 | Sepahan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Aluminium Arak | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Foolad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 8 | Paykan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Mazandaran | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Chadormalu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Malavan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 13 | Zob Ahan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Fajr Sepasi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr Babak | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:11 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)
