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Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Sardar Azadegan Stadium, Qazvin
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Alizadeh A.
26' Event
Aliyari M.
Assist: Najjarian M.
30' Event
Alinejad M.
Assist: Garousian F.

AI Match Summary

Gol Gohar in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gol Gohar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Shams Azar Qazvin
30%
Draws
41%
Gol Gohar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gol Gohar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gol Gohar lately — more wins on the board than Shams Azar Qazvin.
  • Model gives Shams Azar Qazvin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 20%
Gol Gohar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shams Azar Qazvin Gol Gohar
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 5 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar
2:3
Dec 9, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar
1:1
May 8, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:0
Dec 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar
0:1
May 5, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shams Azar Qazvin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamizadeh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Gol Gohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyari M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alinejad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shams Azar Qazvin 42 / 100
Gol Gohar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shams Azar Qazvin Gol Gohar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Shams Azar Qazvin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Shams Azar Qazvin's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Gol Gohar has conceded goals in 54% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shams Azar Qazvin VS Gol Gohar
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shams Azar Qazvin

(Home)
10 Oct
Paykan
1 : 1
Shams Azar Qazvin
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3
Gol Gohar
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Tractor
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 6

Gol Gohar

(Away)
08 Oct
Gol Gohar
3 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
15 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 0
Al Jazira
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3
Gol Gohar
05 Sept
Tractor
1 : 0
Gol Gohar
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Paykan 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
9 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
10 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Shams Azar Qazvin 8 1 3 4 7:10 6
16 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)