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Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Sardar Azadegan Stadium, Qazvin
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mohebi M.
15' Event
Omri M.

AI Match Summary

Persepolis in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persepolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Shams Azar Qazvin
30%
Draws
47%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Persepolis lately — more wins on the board than Shams Azar Qazvin.
  • Model gives Persepolis a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Persepolis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 20%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shams Azar Qazvin Persepolis
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 5 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.69 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis
0:2
Nov 28, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Shams Azar Qazvin
2:0
May 28, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shams Azar Qazvin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohebi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shams Azar Qazvin 24 / 100
Persepolis 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shams Azar Qazvin Persepolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persepolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Persepolis let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Shams Azar Qazvin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Shams Azar Qazvin scored in 46% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shams Azar Qazvin VS Persepolis
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shams Azar Qazvin

(Home)
10 Oct
Paykan
1 : 1
Shams Azar Qazvin
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3
Gol Gohar
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Tractor
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
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Persepolis

(Away)
09 Oct
Persepolis
3 : 1
Sanat Naft
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0
Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0
Persepolis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Paykan 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
9 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
10 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Shams Azar Qazvin 8 1 3 4 7:10 6
16 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)