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Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Sardar Azadegan Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Shams Azar Qazvin play Persepolis in the Persian Gulf Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shams Azar Qazvin averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Persepolis averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Shams Azar Qazvin won 1, Persepolis won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 28, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Shams Azar Qazvin and 0.81 for Persepolis. This points to a Persepolis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Shams Azar Qazvin
27%
Draws
47%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Shams Azar Qazvin picked up more points recently compared to Persepolis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 26%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shams Azar Qazvin Persepolis
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 4 11
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.7 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Shams Azar Qazvin
2:0
May 28, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis
1:3
Dec 24, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Shams Azar Qazvin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shams Azar Qazvin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohebi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafiei S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urunov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shams Azar Qazvin 29 / 100
Persepolis 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shams Azar Qazvin Persepolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Persepolis or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shams Azar Qazvin attacking → ← attacking Persepolis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shams Azar Qazvin scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Persepolis let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Shams Azar Qazvin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Persepolis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 41
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915