Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shan United vs Ezra

Asia Asia

ASEAN Club Championship Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Mon, Sep 14, 2026
2 - 0
11:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Thu Ye Min
37'
Sekyi M.
44'
Siphongphan A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Shan United
15%
Draws
32%
Ezra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ezra come out ahead of Shan United on wins alone.
  • Shan United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ezra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shan United, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Shan United have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Shan United Clean Sheet 10%
Ezra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shan United Ezra
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 21 25
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.38 2.73
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Shan United vs Ezra
2:0
Sep 11, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Ezra vs Shan United
3:2
Aug 15, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Shan United vs Ezra
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Ezra vs Shan United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Moe Thet Wai
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Ezra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shan United 83 / 100
Ezra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shan United Ezra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shan United scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Ezra has conceded goals in 65% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Shan United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shan United VS Ezra
3.13 Goals Scored 3.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Shan United

(Home)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
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Ezra

(Away)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
14 Mar
Ezra
1 : 6
Young Elephant
08 Mar
Luang Prabang United FC
1 : 4
Ezra
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kasuka 2
Manila Digger 9
Ezra 3
Shan United 4