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Shan United vs Mahar United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shan United host Mahar United in the National League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Shan United have averaged 2.56 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Mahar United's 1.74 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Shan United slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Shan United. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Shan United
20%
Draws
33%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shan United lately — more wins on the board than Mahar United.
  • Model gives Shan United a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shan United have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shan United Clean Sheet 20%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shan United Mahar United
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 23 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.56 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.82 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 National League
Shan United vs Mahar United
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 National League
Mahar United vs Shan United
1:5
Feb 22, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Mahar United
3:0
Sep 13, 2024 National League
Mahar United vs Shan United
1:5
Nov 25, 2023 National League
Shan United vs Mahar United
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shan United 85 / 100
Mahar United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shan United Mahar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shan United scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Mahar United has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Shan United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shan United VS Mahar United
3 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shan United

(Home)
21 Oct
Kasuka
0 : 2
Shan United
18 Oct
Shan United
1 : 1
Hang Yuen
11 Oct
Hantharwady United
0 : 2
Shan United
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
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Mahar United

(Away)
18 Oct
Mahar United
2 : 4
Dagon
09 Oct
Mahar United
1 : 1
Chinland
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 4 3 1 0 13:4 10
2 Yangon Royals 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
3 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Yadanarbon 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
6 Thitsar Arman 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
7 Ispe 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
8 Mahar United 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Hantharwady United 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
11 Chinland 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)