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Shan United vs Thitsar Arman

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Khant Myat Kaung
24' Event
Aung Ye Yint
32' Event
Hein Khun Kyaw Zin

AI Match Summary

Shan United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shan United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Shan United
35%
Draws
31%
Thitsar Arman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Thitsar Arman haven't matched Shan United's recent run of results.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shan United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Shan United Clean Sheet 68%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shan United Thitsar Arman
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 25 10
Draws 5 15
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.62 1.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League
Shan United vs Thitsar Arman
5:2
Dec 24, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Shan United
2:3
May 16, 2025 MNL League Cup
Thitsar Arman vs Shan United
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Thitsar Arman
3:1
Jul 28, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Shan United
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Ye Yint
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khant Myat Kaung
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw Saw Myo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shan United 41 / 100
Thitsar Arman 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shan United Thitsar Arman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shan United found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (39 games).

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Thitsar Arman let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Shan United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shan United VS Thitsar Arman
3.13 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Shan United

(Home)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
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Thitsar Arman

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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