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Shan United vs Thitsar Arman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Wed, Nov 25, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shan United host Thitsar Arman in the National League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Thitsar Arman have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Shan United have conceded 0.83 and scored 2.71. Head-to-head, Shan United have won 4 to Thitsar Arman's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 5:2. xG projections (1.94 - 1.50) back Shan United to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shan United
30%
Draws
31%
Thitsar Arman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Shan United have won more games recently than Thitsar Arman.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shan United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Shan United Clean Sheet 16%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shan United Thitsar Arman
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 25 10
Draws 5 13
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.71 1.91
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League
Shan United vs Thitsar Arman
5:2
Dec 24, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Shan United
2:3
May 16, 2025 MNL League Cup
Thitsar Arman vs Shan United
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Thitsar Arman
3:1
Jul 28, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Shan United
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shan United 31 / 100
Thitsar Arman 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shan United Thitsar Arman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shan United found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (35 games).

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Thitsar Arman conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Shan United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shan United VS Thitsar Arman
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Shan United

(Home)
11 Oct
Hantharwady United
0 : 2
Shan United
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
Page 1 of 7

Thitsar Arman

(Away)
16 Oct
Thitsar Arman
2 : 3
Ispe
10 Oct
Ayeyawady
1 : 3
Thitsar Arman
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
5 Thitsar Arman 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
6 Yangon Royals 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Ispe 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
9 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
10 Hantharwady United 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
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