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Shan United vs Yadanarbon Prediction & H2H Stats

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Taunggyi Football Stadium, Taunggyi
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Shan United
20%
Draws
33%
Yadanarbon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shan United lately — more wins on the board than Yadanarbon.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Shan United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shan United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Shan United Clean Sheet 68%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shan United Yadanarbon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.45 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 National League
Yadanarbon vs Shan United
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Yadanarbon
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 National League
Shan United vs Yadanarbon
2:0
Sep 20, 2024 National League
Yadanarbon vs Shan United
1:5
Dec 4, 2023 National League
Yadanarbon vs Shan United
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shan United 95 / 100
Yadanarbon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shan United Yadanarbon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shan United scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Yadanarbon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shan United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shan United VS Yadanarbon
3.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shan United

(Home)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
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Yadanarbon

(Away)
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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