Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan

China China

Super League Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
28'
Ramos G.
39'
Li Y.

AI Match Summary

Shandong Taishan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shandong Taishan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shandong Taishan
33%
Draws
27%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shandong Taishan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shandong Taishan lately — more wins on the board than Beijing Guoan.
  • Win probability leans Shandong Taishan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 10%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shandong Taishan Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan
6:0
Apr 19, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan
6:1
Jun 30, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer Xie Wenneng
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuning
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shandong Taishan 38 / 100
Beijing Guoan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shandong Taishan Beijing Guoan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shandong Taishan scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Beijing Guoan let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Shandong Taishan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shandong Taishan VS Beijing Guoan
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411