Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng

China China

FA Cup 2025 Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shandong Taishan play Chengdu Rongcheng in the FA Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shandong Taishan averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Chengdu Rongcheng averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Shandong Taishan won 1, Chengdu Rongcheng won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Shandong Taishan and 1.69 for Chengdu Rongcheng. This points to a Shandong Taishan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shandong Taishan
18%
Draws
40%
Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Shandong Taishan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Shandong Taishan picked up more points recently compared to Chengdu Rongcheng.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 13%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shandong Taishan Chengdu Rongcheng
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shandong Taishan
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shandong Taishan
2:1
Jun 20, 2025 FA Cup
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:3
Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:3
Sep 24, 2024 FA Cup
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Gazal
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shandong Taishan 40 / 100
Chengdu Rongcheng 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shandong Taishan Chengdu Rongcheng

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shandong Taishan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shandong Taishan attacking → ← attacking Chengdu Rongcheng

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shandong Taishan scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Chengdu Rongcheng let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Shandong Taishan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chengdu Rongcheng lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 50
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75