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Shandong Taishan vs Liaoning Tieren

China China

Super League Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shandong Taishan play Liaoning Tieren in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shandong Taishan averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Liaoning Tieren averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Shandong Taishan won 2, Liaoning Tieren won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Shandong Taishan and 1.69 for Liaoning Tieren. This points to a Shandong Taishan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Shandong Taishan
21%
Draws
30%
Liaoning Tieren
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Shandong Taishan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Shandong Taishan picked up more points recently compared to Liaoning Tieren.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 13%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shandong Taishan Liaoning Tieren
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Shandong Taishan
1:5
Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Liaoning Tieren
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer Xie Wenneng
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shandong Taishan 47 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shandong Taishan Liaoning Tieren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shandong Taishan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shandong Taishan attacking → ← attacking Liaoning Tieren

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shandong Taishan scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Liaoning Tieren let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Shandong Taishan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Liaoning Tieren lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 41
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chengdu Rongcheng17132237:1641
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1776421:1927
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1759322:2524
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
10Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng17521022:3117
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348