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Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan
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Match Events

8' Event
da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
Assist: Qazaishvili V.
12' Event
Liu Yang
13' Event
Jin Yonghao
Assist: Lin Chuangyi

AI Match Summary

Shandong Taishan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shandong Taishan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shandong Taishan
15%
Draws
0%
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shandong Taishan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shandong Taishan have won more games recently than Qingdao Hainiu.
  • Model gives Shandong Taishan a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 20%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shandong Taishan Qingdao Hainiu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.82 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shandong Taishan
4:1
Sep 20, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shandong Taishan
2:2
May 1, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu
1:1
Jul 13, 2024 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liu Yang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Jin Yonghao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shandong Taishan 85 / 100
Qingdao Hainiu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shandong Taishan Qingdao Hainiu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shandong Taishan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shandong Taishan scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Qingdao Hainiu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Qingdao Hainiu registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shandong Taishan VS Qingdao Hainiu
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shandong Taishan

(Home)
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3
Shanghai Port
28 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
22 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
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Qingdao Hainiu

(Away)
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
05 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
23 Aug
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)