Sport Picks
Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan 
Match Events
1'
1'
da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
Assist: Qazaishvili V.
29'
29'
da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
45'
45'
Yang Yiming
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Shandong Taishan have won more games recently than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
- 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Shandong Taishan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 16%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shandong Taishan | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:1
May 10, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shandong Taishan
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shandong Taishan
1:3
Apr 11, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shandong Taishan
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shandong Taishan Compare
Top Goalscorer da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare
Top Goalscorer Dai Wai-Tsun
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shandong Taishan 31 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shandong Taishan Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shandong Taishan scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Shandong Taishan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shandong Taishan VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shandong Taishan
(Home) 05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3 Shanghai Port
28 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 3 Shandong Taishan
22 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3 Shanghai Port
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
09 Aug
Shandong Taishan
2 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
26 Jul
Shandong Taishan
1 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(Away) 09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
07 Aug
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
26 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38:42 | 40 |
| 4 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
