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Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai
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Match Events

35'
Wang Yu
46'
Sub
Zhang Xizhe In: Deng Jiefu
Out: Zhang Xizhe
70'
Sub
Li Shuai In: Yue Xin
Out: Li Shuai

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Shanghai Port
35%
Draws
27%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shanghai Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beijing Guoan lately — more wins on the board than Shanghai Port.
  • Win probability leans Shanghai Port's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Shanghai Port Clean Sheet 10%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Port Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.69 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan
0:0
May 10, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port
2:2
Mar 1, 2026 Super Cup
Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port
2:3
May 1, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Port 38 / 100
Beijing Guoan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Port Beijing Guoan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Port Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Port scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Shanghai Port went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Beijing Guoan conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Port VS Beijing Guoan
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Port

(Home)
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3
Shanghai Port
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1
Shanghai Port
23 Aug
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6

Beijing Guoan

(Away)
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)