Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

China China

Super League Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Benkovic F. In: Yang Yiming
Out: Benkovic F.
29'
Sub
Wang Shenchao In: Zhang Linpeng
Out: Wang Shenchao
42'
Jiang Zhipeng

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shanghai Port and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Shanghai Port
22%
Draws
18%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Shanghai Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Shanghai Port have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Shenzhen Xinpengcheng are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Model gives Shanghai Port a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shanghai Port here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Shanghai Port Clean Sheet 16%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Port Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 FA Cup
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2:1
May 6, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:1
Jun 30, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Port
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:1
Sep 13, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Zhurun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Chow T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Port 57 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Port Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Shanghai Port scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Shanghai Port has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Port VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Port

(Home)
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
17 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 2
Shanghai Port
04 Jul
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 1
Shanghai Port
27 Jun
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
19 Jun
Shanghai Second
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

(Away)
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
11 Jul
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)