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Shanghai Shenhua vs FK Auda Riga

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AI Match Summary

Shanghai Shenhua play FK Auda Riga in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shanghai Shenhua averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. FK Auda Riga averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Shanghai Shenhua won 0, FK Auda Riga won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.31 for FK Auda Riga. This points to a FK Auda Riga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Shanghai Shenhua
26%
Draws
39%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shanghai Shenhua picked up more points recently compared to FK Auda Riga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 18%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Shanghai Shenhua vs FK Auda Riga
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 35 / 100
FK Auda Riga 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua FK Auda Riga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Auda Riga or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shanghai Shenhua attacking → ← attacking FK Auda Riga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Shenhua scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

FK Auda Riga let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Shanghai Shenhua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Auda Riga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 46
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38