Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

FA Cup Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Yeboah Y.
Assist: Zheng Cuanhui
8' Event
Asue L.
Assist: Gao Tianyi
17' Event
Asue L.
Assist: Wu Xi

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shanghai Shenhua
15%
Draws
0%
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shanghai Shenhua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shanghai Shenhua are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Shanghai Shenhua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shanghai Shenhua, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shanghai Shenhua have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 68%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Qingdao Hainiu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.04 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:1
Jul 21, 2026 FA Cup
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
4:1
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Asue L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Ratao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeboah Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 95 / 100
Qingdao Hainiu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Qingdao Hainiu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Shenhua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao Hainiu let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Qingdao Hainiu lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Shanghai Shenhua's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Shenhua VS Qingdao Hainiu
2 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Shenhua

(Home)
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
17 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1
Tampines
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
01 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
Page 1 of 6

Qingdao Hainiu

(Away)
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
05 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
23 Aug
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Guangdong Shudihong 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 4
TBD -
Meizhou Hakka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Xiamen Chengyi 0
Shenzhen 2028 1
TBD -
Shaanxi Union -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Wenzhou Professional 0
TBD -
Nantong Zhiyun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 1
Xiamen Feilu 0
TBD -
Guangdong GZ-Power -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Chongqing Handa 0
Qingdao Red Lions 1
TBD -
Nanjing City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 1
Nantong Haimen 0
TBD -
Guangxi Hengchen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Guangdong Mingtu 0
TBD -
Yanbian Longding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 2
Guizhou Guiyang 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 2
Ganzhou Ruishi 0
TBD -
Suzhou Dongwu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Changchun Xidu 2
TBD -
Dingnan Ganlian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 2
Beijing Technology 1
TBD -
Ningbo Professional -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Qingdao Fuli 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
TBD -
Changchun Yatai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Quanzhou Qinggong 0
Jiangxi Lushan 7
TBD -
Dalian Kun City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Ningxia Pingluo 0
Hangzhou Linping 2
TBD -
Foshan Nanshi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 2
Taian Tiankuang 1
TBD -
Shijiazhuang Gongfu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Yunnan Cuanhe 0
Guangzhou Dandelion 1
TBD -
Wuxi Wugou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/32-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Meizhou Hakka 1
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Shenzhen 2028 0
Shaanxi Union 2
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Nantong Zhiyun 1
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Qingdao Red Lions 1
Nanjing City 0
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 0
Guangxi Hengchen 4
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Yanbian Longding 0
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 0
Shenzhen Juniors 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 0
Suzhou Dongwu 2
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Dingnan Ganlian 2
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 1
Ningbo Professional 4
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
Changchun Yatai 1
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Jiangxi Lushan 2
Dalian Kun City 0
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Hangzhou Linping 1
Foshan Nanshi 0
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Guangzhou Dandelion 0
Wuxi Wugou 2
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/16-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1
Shaanxi Union 2
Zhejiang Professional 1
Dalian Kewei 1
Liaoning Tieren 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Qingdao Red Lions 0
Wuhan Three Towns 1
Guangxi Hengchen 0
Shandong Taishan 5
Shanghai Second 1
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Juniors 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 3
Suzhou Dongwu 2
Yunnan Yukun 4
Shanghai Zetian 0
Chengdu Rongcheng 4
Ningbo Professional 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1
Qingdao West Coast 2
Jiangxi Lushan 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 2
Hangzhou Linping 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 0
Shanghai Shenhua 2
Wuxi Wugou 2
Qingdao Hainiu 3
1/8-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Shaanxi Union 0
Dalian Kewei 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Wuhan Three Towns 2
Shandong Taishan 3
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1
Yunnan Yukun 4
Chengdu Rongcheng 3
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Qingdao West Coast 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shanghai Shenhua 4
Qingdao Hainiu 1
Quarter-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1
Beijing Guoan 3
Shandong Taishan 0
Shanghai Port 3
Yunnan Yukun 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong 0
Dalian Yingbo 1
Shanghai Shenhua 0
Semi-finals
Beijing Guoan -
Shanghai Port -
Yunnan Yukun -
Dalian Yingbo -
Final
TBD -
TBD -