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Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

China China

Super League Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Yang Fan
21'
Rafael Ratao
57'
Sub
Yang Fan In: Wang Xianjun
Out: Yang Fan

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shanghai Shenhua
33%
Draws
27%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger haven't matched Shanghai Shenhua's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Shanghai Shenhua taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shanghai Shenhua have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 20%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0:2
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai Shenhua
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:3
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Xadas B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quiles A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 40 / 100
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Shanghai Shenhua's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Shanghai Shenhua has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Shenhua VS Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Shenhua

(Home)
25 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
05 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2
Zhejiang Professional
28 Jun
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 4
Shanghai Shenhua
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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Away)
25 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng20135241:2044
2Chongqing Tonglianglong2078523:2229
3Yunnan Yukun2084840:3828
4Dalian Yingbo1991930:3528
5Qingdao West Coast20610424:2928
6Shandong Taishan2093836:3624
7Zhejiang Professional2085730:3424
8Beijing Guoan1977532:2623
9Henan Songshan Longmen1983825:2421
10Liaoning Tieren19631025:3121
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng20621228:3720
12Shanghai Shenhua1985636:3119
13Shanghai Port1966730:2619
14Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1966726:2214
15Wuhan Three Towns1947827:3414
16Qingdao Hainiu20631130:3814
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)