Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Yang Fan
21'
Rafael Ratao
57'
Sub
Yang Fan In: Wang Xianjun
Out: Yang Fan

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shanghai Shenhua
20%
Draws
44%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger haven't matched Shanghai Shenhua's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Shanghai Shenhua taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shanghai Shenhua have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 17%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0:2
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai Shenhua
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:3
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Xadas B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quiles A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 66 / 100
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Shenhua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shanghai Shenhua scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Shanghai Shenhua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Shenhua VS Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Shenhua

(Home)
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
17 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1
Tampines
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
01 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
Page 1 of 6

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Away)
10 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
0 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)