Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Changchun Yatai

China China

FA Cup Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass
Sat, May 16, 2026
2 - 1
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai play Changchun Yatai in the FA Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Changchun Yatai averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai won 1, Changchun Yatai won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai and 1.38 for Changchun Yatai. This points to a Shanxi Chongde Ronghai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
33%
Draws
27%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Changchun Yatai.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai.
  • Cup tournament structure in FA Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 68%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FA Cup
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Changchun Yatai
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer He Xin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 50 / 100
Changchun Yatai 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Changchun Yatai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Changchun Yatai let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Changchun Yatai lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai VS Changchun Yatai
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Liaocheng Legend2
Beijing Technology1
TBD-
Ningbo Professional-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Qingdao Fuli0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Dalian Kewei2
Wenzhou Professional0
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen1
Xiamen Feilu0
TBD-
Guangdong GZ-Power-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Chongqing Handa0
Qingdao Red Lions1
TBD-
Nanjing City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar1
Nantong Haimen0
TBD-
Guangxi Hengchen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Guizhou Xufengtang2
Taian Tiankuang1
TBD-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Cuanhe0
Guangzhou Dandelion1
TBD-
Wuxi Wugou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners2
Ganzhou Ruishi0
TBD-
Suzhou Dongwu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Changchun Xidu2
TBD-
Dingnan Ganlian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Quanzhou Qinggong0
Jiangxi Lushan7
TBD-
Dalian Kun City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Ningxia Pingluo0
Hangzhou Linping2
TBD-
Foshan Nanshi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guangdong Shudihong1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic4
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Xiamen Chengyi0
Shenzhen 20281
TBD-
Shaanxi Union-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Shanghai Second1
Guangdong Mingtu0
TBD-
Yanbian Longding-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui2
Guizhou Guiyang1
TBD-
Shenzhen Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/32-finals
Liaocheng Legend1
Ningbo Professional4
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
Changchun Yatai1
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Dalian Kewei2
Nantong Zhiyun1
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Qingdao Red Lions1
Nanjing City0
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar0
Guangxi Hengchen4
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Guangzhou Dandelion0
Wuxi Wugou2
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners0
Suzhou Dongwu2
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Dingnan Ganlian2
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Jiangxi Lushan2
Dalian Kun City0
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Hangzhou Linping1
Foshan Nanshi0
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Meizhou Hakka1
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Shenzhen 20280
Shaanxi Union2
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Shanghai Second1
Yanbian Longding0
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui0
Shenzhen Juniors1
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/16-finals
Ningbo Professional0
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1
Qingdao West Coast2
Dalian Kewei1
Liaoning Tieren0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
Qingdao Red Lions0
Wuhan Three Towns1
Guangxi Hengchen0
Shandong Taishan5
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
Wuxi Wugou2
Qingdao Hainiu3
Suzhou Dongwu2
Yunnan Yukun4
Shanghai Zetian0
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Jiangxi Lushan0
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Hangzhou Linping1
Dalian Yingbo2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Shaanxi Union2
Zhejiang Professional1
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Juniors1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
1/8-finals
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Qingdao West Coast-
Dalian Kewei-
Beijing Guoan-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Dalian Yingbo-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic-
Shaanxi Union-
Shanghai Port-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-