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Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Guizhou Guiyang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Match Events

20'
Ma Chongchong
54' Event
Palmanjan K.
Assist: Zhang Hui
59'
Sub
Chen Long In: Liu Yujie
Out: Chen Long

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Shanxi Chongde Ronghai and Guizhou Guiyang finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shanxi Chongde Ronghai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
35%
Draws
32%
Guizhou Guiyang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Guizhou Guiyang are scoring more at 1.29.
  • Win probability leans Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 68%
Guizhou Guiyang Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Guizhou Guiyang
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Guizhou Guiyang
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmanjan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Guizhou Guiyang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 50 / 100
Guizhou Guiyang 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Guizhou Guiyang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guizhou Guiyang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai VS Guizhou Guiyang
1 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

(Home)
06 Oct
Hangzhou Linping
0 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
19 Sept
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
22 Aug
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0 : 0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
15 Aug
Qingdao Red Lions
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Page 1 of 6

Guizhou Guiyang

(Away)
06 Oct
Guizhou Guiyang
2 : 1
Shanghai Port B
19 Sept
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
12 Sept
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
23 Aug
Guangzhou Dandelion
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
16 Aug
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shanghai Port B 25 14 4 7 40:21 46
2 Guizhou Guiyang 25 14 3 8 34:20 45
3 Shandong Taishan B 25 13 6 6 36:23 45
4 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 25 13 5 7 30:18 44
5 Dalian Kewei 25 11 11 3 24:14 44
6 Shenzhen 2028 25 11 8 6 38:27 41
7 Jiangxi Lushan 25 11 5 9 27:22 38
8 Hangzhou Linping 25 8 12 5 25:30 36
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