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Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Jiangxi Lushan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass, Taiyuan
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai host Jiangxi Lushan in the League Two. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai at 1.28 goals for, 0.76 against; Jiangxi Lushan at 1.24 for, 0.83 against. Head-to-head, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai have won 0 to Jiangxi Lushan's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 31, 2025, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.63, favoring Shanxi Chongde Ronghai. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
20%
Draws
44%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 20%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 42 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Jiangxi Lushan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Jiangxi Lushan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai VS Jiangxi Lushan
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

(Home)
06 Oct
Hangzhou Linping
0 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
19 Sept
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
22 Aug
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0 : 0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
15 Aug
Qingdao Red Lions
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Page 1 of 6

Jiangxi Lushan

(Away)
07 Oct
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
18 Sept
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 1
Shandong Taishan B
12 Sept
Shanghai Port B
1 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shanghai Port B 25 14 4 7 40:21 46
2 Guizhou Guiyang 25 14 3 8 34:20 45
3 Shandong Taishan B 25 13 6 6 36:23 45
4 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 25 13 5 7 30:18 44
5 Dalian Kewei 25 11 11 3 24:14 44
6 Shenzhen 2028 25 11 8 6 38:27 41
7 Jiangxi Lushan 25 11 5 9 27:22 38
8 Hangzhou Linping 25 8 12 5 25:30 36
Promotion - League One 2027 (Main)